NEW DELHI: The much-anticipated exit polls for Lok Sabha elections 2024 are in and as if the predictions are correct, Narendra Modi is all set to take oath as prime minister for the third time. The exit polls have given a comfortable majority to the BJP-led NDA but the dream of ‘400 paar’ remains distant. The opposition’s INDIA bloc which came together to fight against the BJP, has failed to impress the voters, as per exit poll predictions.
Here are the key takeaways from Lok Sabha election 2024 exit poll results:
Hat-trick for PM Modi, NDA
The exit polls have predicted historic third term for PM Modi giving clean sweep to BJP-led NDA government in Lok Sabha elections. Most of the exit polls have predicted over 350 seats to the NDA. It, however, failed to reach its touted seat target of ‘400 paar’ of 543 Lok Sabha seats. With this win, PM Modi will become the second prime minister to retain power for a third term after Jawaharlal Nehru.
INDIA bloc fails to impress
The exit polls have revealed that the INDIA bloc will fall massively short of the 285 seats predicted by Congress chief Mallikarjun Kharge. The exit polls, unanimous, have predicted that the INDIA bloc will get less than 150 seats.
BJP makes inroads in South
Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s mega South push may see BJP make significant gains in some key states of the region, including winning its first Lok Sabha seat in Kerala. The pollsters have also predicted considerable increase in BJP’s voteshare in most of these states, with the saffron party likely to get 27% of voteshare in Kerala.
Big setback for Mamata’s TMC
In a setback for the ruling TMC in West Bengal, three pollsters have predicted that gains for BJP halting TMC’s winning streak in the state. BJP is expected to increase its 2019 score of 18 seats to 22, according to exit poll predictions. Mamata’s TMC might be limited to just 19 of 42 seats.
Voters say no to Kejriwal-Rahul
The exit polls have predicted clean sweep for BJP in New Delhi with most of the polls giving all 7 seats to the party. The alliance between Arvind Kejriwal’s and Congress failed to impress the voters in the national capital.
The exit polls, however, show the trends based on surveys of voters done by various organisations. These numbers and reading might not hold true on June 4 on the day of results.
BJP supremacy continues in Hindi heartland
BJP will continue to dominate the Hindi belt, crucial in shaping political power. The BJP-led NDA is expected to win around 70 of the 80 seats in Uttar Pradesh, according to exit poll results released on Saturday. Meanwhile, opposition bloc INDIA is likely to win around 10 seats. The exit polls have also predicted clean sweep for BJP in Madhya Pradesh. The BJP-led NDA is also expected to win comfortably in Chhattisgarh, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh and Haryana.
NDA numbers dip in Bihar, Rajasthan
Although the exit polls have predicted majority for NDA in Bihar and Rajasthan, the BJP is likely to lose seats in the states. In Bihar, BJP won 17 seats with 23.58% vote share while JD(U) secured 16 seats with 21.81% vote share. Congress won only 1 seat. In 2024, BJP-JD(U) alliance is again predicted to get a majority but the BJP is likely to secure only 13-15 seats, and JD(U) 9-11. Meanwhile, RJD is likely to secure 6-7 seats and Congress 1-2 seats.
In Rajasthan, the exit polls predicted gains for the Congress, though BJP will get majority with around 18 seats. Congress, which is part of the opposition INDIA bloc, is likely to make gains on 8 seats in Rajasthan.
BJP dominates Naveen Patnaik’s bastion
The exit polls have predicted huge gains for the BJP in Odisha with the numbers amost doubling up. In 2019, the BJD had won 12 out of the 21 seats in the state and the BJP had won 8 seats. In 2024, however, the exit poll predicts that the BJP will register significant gains in Naveen Patnaik’s bastion. The INDIA bloc is not predicted to win any seat in the state.
Here are the key takeaways from Lok Sabha election 2024 exit poll results:
Hat-trick for PM Modi, NDA
The exit polls have predicted historic third term for PM Modi giving clean sweep to BJP-led NDA government in Lok Sabha elections. Most of the exit polls have predicted over 350 seats to the NDA. It, however, failed to reach its touted seat target of ‘400 paar’ of 543 Lok Sabha seats. With this win, PM Modi will become the second prime minister to retain power for a third term after Jawaharlal Nehru.
INDIA bloc fails to impress
The exit polls have revealed that the INDIA bloc will fall massively short of the 285 seats predicted by Congress chief Mallikarjun Kharge. The exit polls, unanimous, have predicted that the INDIA bloc will get less than 150 seats.
BJP makes inroads in South
Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s mega South push may see BJP make significant gains in some key states of the region, including winning its first Lok Sabha seat in Kerala. The pollsters have also predicted considerable increase in BJP’s voteshare in most of these states, with the saffron party likely to get 27% of voteshare in Kerala.
Big setback for Mamata’s TMC
In a setback for the ruling TMC in West Bengal, three pollsters have predicted that gains for BJP halting TMC’s winning streak in the state. BJP is expected to increase its 2019 score of 18 seats to 22, according to exit poll predictions. Mamata’s TMC might be limited to just 19 of 42 seats.
Voters say no to Kejriwal-Rahul
The exit polls have predicted clean sweep for BJP in New Delhi with most of the polls giving all 7 seats to the party. The alliance between Arvind Kejriwal’s and Congress failed to impress the voters in the national capital.
The exit polls, however, show the trends based on surveys of voters done by various organisations. These numbers and reading might not hold true on June 4 on the day of results.
BJP supremacy continues in Hindi heartland
BJP will continue to dominate the Hindi belt, crucial in shaping political power. The BJP-led NDA is expected to win around 70 of the 80 seats in Uttar Pradesh, according to exit poll results released on Saturday. Meanwhile, opposition bloc INDIA is likely to win around 10 seats. The exit polls have also predicted clean sweep for BJP in Madhya Pradesh. The BJP-led NDA is also expected to win comfortably in Chhattisgarh, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh and Haryana.
NDA numbers dip in Bihar, Rajasthan
Although the exit polls have predicted majority for NDA in Bihar and Rajasthan, the BJP is likely to lose seats in the states. In Bihar, BJP won 17 seats with 23.58% vote share while JD(U) secured 16 seats with 21.81% vote share. Congress won only 1 seat. In 2024, BJP-JD(U) alliance is again predicted to get a majority but the BJP is likely to secure only 13-15 seats, and JD(U) 9-11. Meanwhile, RJD is likely to secure 6-7 seats and Congress 1-2 seats.
In Rajasthan, the exit polls predicted gains for the Congress, though BJP will get majority with around 18 seats. Congress, which is part of the opposition INDIA bloc, is likely to make gains on 8 seats in Rajasthan.
BJP dominates Naveen Patnaik’s bastion
The exit polls have predicted huge gains for the BJP in Odisha with the numbers amost doubling up. In 2019, the BJD had won 12 out of the 21 seats in the state and the BJP had won 8 seats. In 2024, however, the exit poll predicts that the BJP will register significant gains in Naveen Patnaik’s bastion. The INDIA bloc is not predicted to win any seat in the state.
